CO129-622-9 Material for 'vetting' for lecture 9-11-1949 - 14-11-1949 — Page 25

CO129 Colonial Office Hong Kong Records 理藩院香港檔案 All

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10. ENCH INDO CHINA, THAILAND, BURMA

Next I wish to turn to FRENCH INDO CHINA, THAILAND and BURMA.

These I group together because of the fact that they lie astride

the land routes between CHINA and SOUTH-EAST ASIA to the South, and

towards INDIA to the West. Alsc because of the rice exporting

potential of these three countries, to which I have already

referred.

All three are unstable; on the surface THAILAND being possibly

the least so.

11. FRENCH INDO CHINA

FRENCH INDO CHINA has been, ever since the re-occupation, in a

state of turmoil and strife, the results of lack of effort in the

way of men and resources from France, of uncertainty as to policy

and as to what the future holds. There the VIET MINH Movement,

which first was purely nationalistic in character, has now been

drawn into the Communist fold. Without a firm policy, astute

statesmanship and additional resources I cannot see the situation

improving; in fact I fear the reverse.

12. THAILAND

THAILAND is an uncertain quantity, subject as it is to periodical coups d'etat. Those who enjoy power there to-day achieved that position by force, though there have since been elections which have confirmed their positions.

The present direction of the country's affairs is reasonably firm and straightforward, and the trend is definitely anti-

Communist,

But the SIAMESE are notoriously anti-CHINESE, so it is sometimes difficult to disentangle anti-Communism from their age-long attitude towards their CHINESE Overseas Population.

Whatever one may feel about THAILAND's performance in the war and actions since, she has so far, I believe, stuck scrupulously to her rice export commitments, sometimes in very

/difficult

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